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#1
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Posted to rec.bicycles.tech,rec.audio.tech
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On 2009-11-25, William Asher wrote:
Ben C wrote in : Right but can't you see that it's _you_ who is doing that? I'm not the one believing in anything here. The CO2 global-warming hypothesis is definitely worth exploring, but obviously only if you do it properly. I just have to know, if having thousands of researchers at hundreds of laboratories around the world including experimentalists, modelers, observationalists work on different facets of the problem, You say "thousands of researchers". OK different facets of the problem, but UEA name just three sources of global temperatures: There is excellent agreement on the course of temperature change since 1881 between the data set that we contribute to (HadCRUT3) and two other, independent analyses of worldwide temperature measurements. There are no statistically significant differences between the warming trends in the three series since the start of the 20th century. The three independent global temperature data series have been assembled by: CRU and the Met Office Hadley Centre (HadCRUT3) in the UK. The National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in Asheville, NC, USA. The Goddard Institute of Space Studies (GISS), part of the National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA) in New York. At least the first one stinks. Smoking gun or not, and whatever the pnambic Phil Jones claims he meant by "hide the decline", just the tone of those emails is enough to consider the work of that lot tainted. Besides, one would be a fool to believe anything with Michael Mann behind it for a second time. As for the second two, how independent are they really? After all, as far as I know Mann doesn't officially work for the Met Office Hadley Centre. with those scientists all striving to have their work reviewed by others working in the field (including scientists who are skeptical of the theory to begin with) and published in open journals, What they don't seem to publish very often is the data and source code, which seeing as most of the conclusions are based on computer models, is the important stuff. Instead I read an awful lot about "overwhelming scientific consensus". Seems everyone just has a consensus that they have a consensus. *and* with periodic review of the combined results being conducted by an independent international body of experts I trust "independent international bodies of experts" about as far as I could spit them. (that again includes some of the skeptical voices) *isn't* "doing it properly" (as you seem to be implying), what would be a better way to go about it? In an ideal world, make all the data and source code public and fund skeptic and non-skeptic research equally, and both a lot less. Throwing too much money at the problem has made it worse. In spite of all the fuss, we're not really cutting CO2 and probably won't-- and certainly not by enough if the alarmists are right-- so, provided the world hasn't ended for a completely different reason, we'll get to see what happens. So far the closest thing to an actual experiment is the one we've been doing on ourselves for the last century. If you're right about the isotopes, it looks like the CO2 has gone up because of human activity. If McKitrick and McIntyre are right about the temperature record, the only consequence of that seems to have been a growth spurt of some bristlecone pines, and maybe half a dozen trees in Siberia. |
#2
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Ben C wrote:
In an ideal world, make all the data and source code public and fund skeptic and non-skeptic research equally, and both a lot less. Throwing too much money at the problem has made it worse. The original sin here was the establishment of a government bureau to handle climate change under a mandate that presumed climate change before it was founded. The IPCC consists of bureaucrats. You ever hear of bureaucrats who didn't find whatever human failing they were constituted to find? It would be entirely unnatural for bureaucrats to work themselves out of a job. A temporary commission to investigate and report would have discovered what the scientists reported in the first IPCC report: no manmade global warming, no CO2 links. A temporary commission would have reported and that would have been the end of it, no further action required. But a permanent, publicly funded body must find something to do. In spite of all the fuss, we're not really cutting CO2 and probably won't-- and certainly not by enough if the alarmists are right-- so, provided the world hasn't ended for a completely different reason, we'll get to see what happens. I'm not encouraged by recent history to have any faith that anyone will remember either the global warming scare or the monstrous cost. As an exhibit, let me ask you a question: do you personally remember the global freezing scare of the seventies? There was even a best- selling book, recommending that we artificially warm the oceans to alleviate the coming Ice Age. Imagine the unintended effects of that if there were to be any kind of global warming, or just some sunspot activity. It was quite as mindless as global warming, but now no one except me remembers. So far the closest thing to an actual experiment is the one we've been doing on ourselves for the last century. If you're right about the isotopes, it looks like the CO2 has gone up because of human activity. If McKitrick and McIntyre are right about the temperature record, the only consequence of that seems to have been a growth spurt of some bristlecone pines, and maybe half a dozen trees in Siberia. Those clowns Jones, Mann and Briffa spent their entire careers seaching for *precisely* those six unsuitable trees that can be manipulated to show a hockey stick graph! We should give them some award for mindless persistence in the cause of their religion. If this entire global warming affair hadn't cost so much and damaged the reputation of all science so much, it would have been funny in a bizarre sort of way. Richard Condon, who wrote a novel presenting Prohibition as a plot by some rich men to get richer, should be alive today! Mind you, Tom Sharpe is alive and working and this farce is right up his street too. Andre Jute Not everything in materials is dreamt of in Timoshenko |
#3
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Posted to rec.bicycles.tech,rec.audio.tech
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On 2009-11-26, Andre Jute wrote:
Ben C wrote: [...] So far the closest thing to an actual experiment is the one we've been doing on ourselves for the last century. If you're right about the isotopes, it looks like the CO2 has gone up because of human activity. If McKitrick and McIntyre are right about the temperature record, the only consequence of that seems to have been a growth spurt of some bristlecone pines, and maybe half a dozen trees in Siberia. Those clowns Jones, Mann and Briffa spent their entire careers seaching for *precisely* those six unsuitable trees that can be manipulated to show a hockey stick graph! We should give them some award for mindless persistence in the cause of their religion. Actually I should say that M&M don't attribute the growth spurt of those trees to CO2 fertilization. It's unknown what caused it. Since it only affected a few groups of trees, it was presumably something local. |
#4
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Posted to rec.bicycles.tech,rec.audio.tech
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On Nov 26, 8:42*pm, Ben C wrote:
On 2009-11-26, Andre Jute wrote: *Ben C wrote: [...] So far the closest thing to an actual experiment is the one we've been doing on ourselves for the last century. If you're right about the isotopes, it looks like the CO2 has gone up because of human activity. If McKitrick and McIntyre are right about the temperature record, the only consequence of that seems to have been a growth spurt of some bristlecone pines, and maybe half a dozen trees in Siberia. Those clowns Jones, Mann and Briffa spent their entire careers seaching for *precisely* those six unsuitable trees that can be manipulated to show a hockey stick graph! We should give them some award for mindless persistence in the cause of their religion. Actually I should say that M&M don't attribute the growth spurt of those trees to CO2 fertilization. It's unknown what caused it. Since it only affected a few groups of trees, it was presumably something local. Ah, all the times we heard the global warmies sneer that someone was mistaking a little local weather for global climate, while they of course did the same thing with monotonous regularly. Now we catch the boss climate scientists out a) presenting a little local weather on an obscure Colorado hilltop as global weather (Mann) and b) making out that a few trees on an icy slope in Siberia is indicative of global weather (Briffa). And in both cases they searched so hard for the hockey stick (no, I tell you, it was Colonel Mustard in the library, with the knife!) but found it not, except in the despicable, unreliable bristle cones! A little local weather up a deserted Colorado mountain, and a little local weather on a deserted Siberian slope a thousand miles from civilization, are setting global policy. I wonder if anyone has explained that to world leaders at Copenhagen. Andre Jute The Earth has a lot of practice looking after itself. It still will long after Man is gone. |
#5
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"Andre Jute" wrote in message
... I wonder if anyone has explained that to world leaders at Copenhagen. Why aren't you there Andre, rather than ranting away in a long-forgotton corner of the internet? You keep saying how you hang around in high places, hobnobbing with people of stature - why aren't you talking to them? |
#6
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On Nov 26, 11:23*pm, "Clive George" wrote:
"Andre Jute" wrote in message ... I wonder if anyone has explained that to world leaders at Copenhagen. Why aren't you there Andre, rather than ranting away in a long-forgotton corner of the internet? You keep saying how you hang around in high places, hobnobbing with people of stature - why aren't you talking to them? Got any technical contribution, sonny? Or is are these petty attempts to nip my ankles the total extent of your talent? -- AJ |
#7
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Posted to rec.bicycles.tech,rec.audio.tech
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In article ,
Ben C wrote: In spite of all the fuss, we're not really cutting CO2 and probably won't-- and certainly not by enough if the alarmists are right-- so, provided the world hasn't ended for a completely different reason, we'll get to see what happens. Some of it. Most of it will be seen by your children and your grandchildren, if you have any. Sins of the fathers and all that. So far the closest thing to an actual experiment is the one we've been doing on ourselves for the last century. If you're right about the isotopes, it looks like the CO2 has gone up because of human activity. If McKitrick and McIntyre are right about the temperature record, the only consequence of that seems to have been a growth spurt of some bristlecone pines, and maybe half a dozen trees in Siberia. You've not been paying attention, then. Almost all of the measured changes in the global climate have outstripped the most alarmist computer models by a large margin (sea level rise at 180% of predictions, for example). |
#8
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On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 10:03:49 -0600, Tim McNamara
wrote: You've not been paying attention, then. Almost all of the measured changes in the global climate have outstripped the most alarmist computer models by a large margin (sea level rise at 180% of predictions, for example). If that is a fact, then it proves that the anthropogenic global warming, predicted by the models is not what is going on. Something else is happening that is quite unrelated. d |
#9
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Posted to rec.bicycles.tech,rec.audio.tech
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On Nov 26, 10:17*am, (Don Pearce) wrote:
On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 10:03:49 -0600, Tim McNamara wrote: You've not been paying attention, then. *Almost all of the measured changes in the global climate have outstripped the most alarmist computer models by a large margin (sea level rise at 180% of predictions, for example). If that is a fact, then it proves that the anthropogenic global warming, predicted by the models is not what is going on. What evidence do you have for this lie? Something else is happening that is quite unrelated. What evidence do you have for this lie? |
#10
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On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 08:21:21 -0800 (PST), landotter
wrote: On Nov 26, 10:17*am, (Don Pearce) wrote: On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 10:03:49 -0600, Tim McNamara wrote: You've not been paying attention, then. *Almost all of the measured changes in the global climate have outstripped the most alarmist computer models by a large margin (sea level rise at 180% of predictions, for example). If that is a fact, then it proves that the anthropogenic global warming, predicted by the models is not what is going on. What evidence do you have for this lie? Something else is happening that is quite unrelated. What evidence do you have for this lie? Don't be an idiot. I was drawing an inevitable conclusion from the previous post. d |
#11
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On Nov 26, 10:23*am, (Don Pearce) wrote:
On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 08:21:21 -0800 (PST), landotter wrote: On Nov 26, 10:17*am, (Don Pearce) wrote: On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 10:03:49 -0600, Tim McNamara wrote: You've not been paying attention, then. *Almost all of the measured changes in the global climate have outstripped the most alarmist computer models by a large margin (sea level rise at 180% of predictions, for example). If that is a fact, then it proves that the anthropogenic global warming, predicted by the models is not what is going on. What evidence do you have for this lie? Something else is happening that is quite unrelated. What evidence do you have for this lie? Don't be an idiot. I was drawing an inevitable conclusion from the previous post. I'm an idiot because I require opinion to be served with evidence? Laughable. Your reasoning is just as retarded as creationists who find gods wedged into each incomplete gap in the fossil record. Occams razor. |
#12
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On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 08:27:22 -0800 (PST), landotter
wrote: On Nov 26, 10:23*am, (Don Pearce) wrote: On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 08:21:21 -0800 (PST), landotter wrote: On Nov 26, 10:17*am, (Don Pearce) wrote: On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 10:03:49 -0600, Tim McNamara wrote: You've not been paying attention, then. *Almost all of the measured changes in the global climate have outstripped the most alarmist computer models by a large margin (sea level rise at 180% of predictions, for example). If that is a fact, then it proves that the anthropogenic global warming, predicted by the models is not what is going on. What evidence do you have for this lie? Something else is happening that is quite unrelated. What evidence do you have for this lie? Don't be an idiot. I was drawing an inevitable conclusion from the previous post. I'm an idiot because I require opinion to be served with evidence? Laughable. The evidence was the post I was analysing. Nothing more was required. Did you not see that I began my post "If that is a fact"? Your reasoning is just as retarded as creationists who find gods wedged into each incomplete gap in the fossil record. Occams razor. Exactly. When I am extrapolating reasoning from a claim in one post, why would I needlessly multiply entities by introducing further complications? Try reading what is actually written, rather than what you would like to have been written so you can argue against it. d |
#13
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Don Pearce wrote:
On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 10:03:49 -0600, Tim McNamara wrote: You've not been paying attention, then. Almost all of the measured changes in the global climate have outstripped the most alarmist computer models by a large margin (sea level rise at 180% of predictions, for example). If that is a fact, then it proves that the anthropogenic global warming, predicted by the models is not what is going on. Something else is happening that is quite unrelated. Good that I didn't plonk via a topic rule .... d Kind regards Peter Larsen |
#14
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On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 17:31:38 +0100, "Peter Larsen"
wrote: Good that I didn't plonk via a topic rule .... I don't think I'd ever do that. d |
#15
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Don Pearce wrote:
On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 17:31:38 +0100, "Peter Larsen" wrote: Good that I didn't plonk via a topic rule .... I don't think I'd ever do that. Nor would I, but all those that followed up in this thread having names I could not recall are in my bit-bucket now, this is not the place for that thread. d Kind regards Peter Larsen |
#16
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On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 17:44:07 +0100, "Peter Larsen"
wrote: Don Pearce wrote: On Thu, 26 Nov 2009 17:31:38 +0100, "Peter Larsen" wrote: Good that I didn't plonk via a topic rule .... I don't think I'd ever do that. Nor would I, but all those that followed up in this thread having names I could not recall are in my bit-bucket now, this is not the place for that thread. My killfile is currently empty - its usual state. it takes a great deal of personal rudeness to drop somebody in there. My policy with threads is that if I am not interested in following one, I simply click the "Ignore Thread" option, and I see no further posts in it. d |
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