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Global Warming is caused by the Sun, the Moon and the Stars.
Global Warming is caused by the Sun, the Moon and the Stars.
The lunar calendar and more accurately the Mayan long calendar predicts 2012 to be the date the gravity of the planet Venus negatively affects the Moon's lunar trajectory and causes disruptions in the weather patterns on the planet Earth. Known only as, and exacerbated by Global Warming. Though for communities of the time, then dependent largely on agricultural industries, this was known as the beginning of the end times or the apocalypse. The event of Venus' orbit pulling the moon away from us only happens once every 60,000 to 70,000 years and coincides with landmark claims of human survival such as the book of Genesis and the predictions of the Maya. In order to thwart this new enemy, or threat from outer space as I like to call it, we need to re-engineer the moons orbit back to a position agreeable with life on earth. This should be the sole focus of Global Warming talks and endeavours. That new bomb the Russians invented should do the trick. Just detonate it alongside the trajectory of the moon and nudge it back into place. Do this every once in a while and we'll have a very nice planet to live on for a long time to come. If not, then it is Hell On Road Off, as the heat of Gehenna burn us all to death. Ye serpents, ye generation of vipers, how can ye escape the damnation of Gehenna?" - Jesus Christ "Control the trajectory of the moon, and you control the seasons, control the seasons, and you control the weather, control the weather, and you control global warming, control global warming, and you control the temperature of the earth. and that is how we escape." - Beelzebub And when you look up to the sky and see the sun, the moon and the stars all the heavenly array-do not be enticed into bowing down to them and worshiping things the LORD your God has apportioned to all the nations under heaven. Deuteronomy 4:19 Sincerely yours, Norman Christian Hoffmann HAMC www.Goodtimessociety.net www.Goodtimessociety.net www.Goodtimessociety.net www.Goodtimessociety.net www.Goodtimessociety.net www.Goodtimessociety.net www.Goodtimessociety.net www.Goodtimessociety.net www.Goodtimessociety.net |
#2
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Global Warming is caused by the Sun, the Moon and the Stars.
wrote in message... Global Warming is caused by the Sun, the Moon and the Stars. __________________ Citations inserted as deemed necessary __________________ WEATHER OF MASS DESTRUCTION: Last month, the Military Advisory Board, a panel of esteemed retired military officers, issued a report that found "projected climate change poses a serious threat to America's national security" over the next 30 to 40 years. The report -- "National Security and the Threat of Climate Change" -- warned that there will be wars over water, increased hunger, instability from worsening disease and rising sea levels, and global warming-induced refugees. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases...0417092232.htm the content of this cite is posted below in it's entirety CBS http://wjz.com/topstories/topstories...107074013.html "The chaos that results can be an incubator of civil strife, genocide and the growth of terrorism," the report predicted. In an interview with The Progress Report, Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, Chairman of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), said that "if the impact of climate change is going to make regions of violence poorer, then they really provide a level of fertility for inciting disaffection and resentment against the prosperous world. That's an indirect effect that can create the conditions for terrorism." Raising the ire of the right wing, the House Intelligence Committee took needed action to set aside funds in order to study the adverse impact that climate change may have on global security. NATIONAL SECURITY EXPERTS ISSUE WARNING ABOUT WARMING: Leading environmental scientists predict that climate change will bring about reduced access to fresh water, impaired food production, more diseases, land loss and displacement of major populations. "While the developed world will be far better equipped to deal with the effects of climate change, some of the poorest regions may be affected most. This gap can potentially provide an avenue for extremist ideologies and create conditions for terrorism." citation federal government US Natural Resources Management and Environment Department http://www.fao.org/docrep/W5183E/w5183e0b.htm http://www.fao.org/docrep/W5183E/w5183e00.HTM main FAO introduction The military experts said the fallout from global warming -- massive migrations, increased border tensions, greater demands for rescue and evacuation efforts, and conflicts over essential resources, including food and water -- could lead to direct U.S. military involvement. Ret. General Gordon Sullivan said, "We found that climate instability will lead to instability in geopolitics and impact American military operations around the world." A "ferocious drought and famine" were the driving forces behind the crisis in Darfur, which is "likely to be seen as the first climate change war." citation The First Climate Change War http://www.guardian.co.uk/sudan/stor...067637,00.html http://wjz.com/topstories/topstories...107074013.html Security Risk CONGRESS RESPONDS TO THE THREAT: On the heels of the warnings from national security experts, the House Intelligence Committee last week voted to include a provision in the Intelligence Authorization bill that would set aside funds to study the impact of global warming on national security. "We're concerned that global warming might impact our ability to maintain national security," said House Intelligence Committee Chairman Silvestre Reyes (D-TX). "For that reason, intelligence analysts are already reviewing the impact of climate change to our nation's security. Our bill requires that the review be a formal National Intelligence Estimate and that the estimate be provided to Congress." Sens. Carl Levin (D-MI) and Chuck Hagel (R-NE) introduced a bill in March that would also propose similar action. The Military Advisory Board specifically recommended that the national security consequences of climate change be fully integrated into national defense strategies, and "the intelligence community should incorporate climate consequences into its National Intelligence Estimate." Because conservatives have blocked action on global warming, notes Center for American Progress Senior Fellow Joseph Romm, "Progressives are driven to fund a serious effort by our intelligence agencies to understand the dangerous implications of our do-nothing climate policy." citation NPR.org "Climate Change and Security PDF http://capweb.democracyinaction.org/..._ climate.pdf DENIAL TAKES NEW FORM: Ret. Gen. Anthony Zinni, President Bush's former Middle East envoy, said, "It's not hard to make the connection between climate change and instability, or climate change and terrorism." Zinni underestimated the r esistance to global warming science by the right wing. Rep. Peter Hoekstra (R-MI), the ranking member on the intelligence committee, claimed, "There's no value added by the intelligence community" in assessing global warming's security impact. Hoekstra has previously said he's "not convinced" that we need to make "radical changes solely to address the issue of global warming." http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/apr2...7-04-16-05.asp Military Panel A statement from the House Republican Policy Committee said there is a real question "about whether global warming is a legitimate intelligence priority." The Pentagon disagrees. In 2003, it issued a report stating in clear language, "Because of the potentially dire consequences, the risk of abrupt climate change...should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to a U.S. national security concern." Abrupt Climate Change http://capweb.democracyinaction.org/...ange2003.pd f MITIGATING THE EFFECTS: The Military Advisory Board wrote, "Managing the security impacts of climate change requires two approaches: mitigating the effects we can control and adapting to those we cannot." Last week, the IPCC issued its third working group report urging immediate action to control climate change. According to the findings, "we have, at most, eight years to freeze and reverse emissions." Pachauri explained to The Progress Report, "We have to tell the people of the U.S. that this is something intimately connected with their present and their future. The cost of inaction is going to be far higher than action. And the cost of action is really not all that high." The technology "is available to make immediate change and in others, the capability is expected to develop within decades. Such is the case with advanced carbon capture and storage technology. When it comes to energy efficiency and conservation, it could simply be a matter of policies that give incentive to change." A recent Center for American Progress poll found that Americans urgently want solutions to curb global warming. http://www.americanprogress.org/issu...emissions.html http://www.americanprogress.org/issu...ment_poll.html _______________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________ SCIENCE DAILY and The Military Advisory Council on Climate Change http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases...0417092232.htm Climate Change Poses Serious Threat To U.S. National Security Science Daily — Global climate change presents a serious national security threat that could affect Americans at home, impact U.S. military operations and heighten global tensions, according to a study released today by a blue-ribbon panel of retired admirals and generals. The study, “National Security and the Threat of Climate Change,” explores ways projected climate change is a “threat multiplier” in already fragile regions of the world, exacerbating conditions that lead to failed states—the breeding grounds for extremism and terrorism. The CNA Corporation, a nonprofit research and analysis organization, brought together eleven retired four-star and three-star admirals and generals to provide advice, expertise and perspective on the impact of climate change on national security. CNA writers and researchers compiled the report under the board's direction and review. The Military Advisory Board members come from all branches of the armed services. The board includes a former Army chief of staff, commanders-in-chiefs of U.S. forces in global regions, a former shuttle astronaut and NASA administrator, and experts in planning, logistics, underwater operations and oceanography. One member also served as U.S. ambassador to China. “Climate change is a national security issue,” retired General. Gordon R. Sullivan, chairman of the Military Advisory Board and former Army chief of staff, said in releasing the report at a Washington news conference. “We found that climate instability will lead to instability in geopolitics and impact American military operations around the world.” “People are saying they want to be perfectly convinced about climate science projections,” he said. “But speaking as a soldier, we never have 100 percent certainty. If you wait until you have 100 percent certainty, something bad is going to happen on the battlefield.” Military Advisory Board members said they remain optimistic that climate change challenges can be managed to reduce future risks. The first step recommended in the study is for the national intelligence community to include comprehensive assessments of climate change in future security plans, just as agencies now take into account traditional but uncertain threats. As part of its five specific recommendations for action, the Military Advisory Board stated that “the path to mitigating the worst security consequences of climate change involves reducing global greenhouse gas emissions.” “There is a relationship between carbon emissions and our national security,” General Sullivan said recently. “I think that the evidence is there that would suggest that we have to start paying attention.” “Carbon emissions are clearly part of the problem,” he added. “We will pay for this one way or another,” stated retired Marine Corps General Anthony C. Zinni, former commander of U.S. forces in the Middle East. “We will pay to reduce greenhouse gas emissions today, and we'll have to take an economic hit of some kind. Or, we will pay the price later in military terms. And that will involve human lives. There will be a human toll.” Retired Navy Vice Admiral Richard H. Truly, a shuttle astronaut and former NASA administrator, said in the report that “unlike the challenges that we are used to dealing with, these will come upon us extremely slowly, but come they will, and they will be grinding and inexorable.” Truly also notes that “maybe more challenging is that climate change will affect every nation, and all simultaneously. This is why we need to study this issue now, so that we'll be prepared and not overwhelmed by the required scope of our response when the time comes” Environmental Threats Have Security Implications The report recognizes that unabated climate change could bring an increased frequency of extreme storms, additional drought and flooding, rising sea levels, melting glaciers and the rapid spread of life-threatening disease. While these projected effects are usually viewed as environmental challenges, the Military Advisory Board has looked at them from the perspective of national security assessments and has identified them as serious risk factors for: massive migrations increased border tensions greater demands for rescue and evacuation efforts conflicts over essential resources—including food and water Such developments could lead to direct U.S. military involvement, the board found. “Climate change can provide the conditions that will extend the war on terror,” said retired Admiral T. Joseph Lopez, former commander-in-chief, U.S. Naval Forces Europe and of Allied Forces, Southern Europe. “Rising ocean water levels, droughts, violent weather, ruined national economies—those are the kinds of stresses we'll see more of under climate change.” “In the long term, we want to address the underlying conditions that terrorists seek to exploit,” Admiral Lopez said. “But climate change will prolong those conditions. It makes them worse.” Impacts on U.S. Military Intervention and Regional Stability The report describes national security implications of climate change in regions of the world. Europe The report states that “Tensions may rise as immigration from Africa and the Middle East—exacerbated by climate change—places additional social and economic pressures on countries. Some of America's strongest allies may be distracted as they struggle to protect their own borders. Such an inward focus may make it more difficult to build international coalitions, or engage in exercises to ensure readiness.” “Europe will be focused on its own borders,” retired Admiral Donald L. Pilling, vice chief of naval operations, said in the report. “There is potential for fracturing some very strong alliances based on migrations and the lack of control over borders.” Africa The report focuses on the ways in which climate change can contribute to shortages of food, drinking water and farmland, adding strain in a region that is already the source of 30 percent of the world's refugees. It states: “Such changes will add significantly to existing tensions and can facilitate weakened governance, economic collapses, massive human migrations, and potential conflicts.” “We ought to care about Africa because we're a good country,” retired Air Force General Charles F. “Chuck” Wald said in the report. As deputy commander of the United States European Command, he was also responsible for U.S. forces in Africa. (Supervision of American forces in that continent was recently moved from EUCOM into a new “AFRICOM” command.) “We have a humanitarian character; it's one of our great strengths, and we shouldn't deny it. Some may be tempted to avert their eyes, but I would hope we instead see the very real human suffering taking place there. We should be moved by it, challenged by it. Even in the context of security discussions, I think these reasons matter, because part of our security depends on remaining true to our values. … “We import more oil from Africa than the Middle East—probably a shock to a lot of people—and that share will grow. …we'll be drawn into the politics of Africa, to a much greater extent.” Middle East Noting this is the region of the world in which the U.S. is most engaged militarily, the report states that “water resources are a critical issue… and will become even more critical… Competition for increasingly scarce resources may exacerbate the level of conflict.” “The existing situation [in the Middle East] makes this place more susceptible to problems,” General Zinni, the former CENTCOM commander, said in the report. “Even small changes may have a greater impact here than they may have elsewhere. You already have great tension over water. These are cultures often built around a single source of water. “It's not hard to make the connection between climate change and instability, or climate change and terrorism,” General Zinni added. Latin America The report states: “Rising sea levels will threaten all coastal nations. Caribbean nations are especially vulnerable in this regard, with the combination of rising sea levels and increased hurricane activity potentially devastating to some island nations … and a likely increase in immigration from neighbor states.” In addition the report finds that “[l]oss of glaciers will strain water supply in several areas, particularly Peru and Venezuela.” Asia The report finds that many factors may affect the continent. Potential sea level rise would have a severe impact with almost 40 percent of Asia's population of nearly 4 billion living within forty-five miles of coastlines. In addition, the reduced availability of farmland and drinking water and the increased spread of infectious disease would destabilize the region. One Military Advisory Board member, retired Navy Admiral Joseph W. Prueher, views Asia from two perspectives, having been commander of all U.S. forces in the Pacific and later U.S. ambassador to China. He suggested, as the full report does, that the U.S. should work with key international partners, including China, one of the leading emitters of atmospheric carbon. “On the issue of carbon emissions, it doesn't help us to solve our problem if China doesn't solve theirs. And that means we need to engage with them on many fronts,” Admiral Prueher said in the report. “Not talking to the Chinese is not an option.” Impacts on Military Bases and Operations The Military Advisory Board found that climate change impacts may affect U.S. military bases, requiring the Pentagon to prepare differently for future national security scenarios. It outlined specific ways that climate change will add to the difficulties facing future U.S. military leaders: Rising sea levels could threaten coastal bases at home and abroad. Increasing storm activity could deter the military's ability to perform routine maintenance or carry out regular exercises. Changing ocean salinity could require changes in sonar and submarine systems. Drought conditions could require new logistical plans and equipment for moving water to U.S. troops in war zones. The need for new kinds of humanitarian operations could necessitate new training to address these different missions. Climate change may have differing impacts on the four branches of the armed services. The former head of the U.S. Army Materiel Command, retired General Paul J. Kern, said changes may make it more difficult for the Army to handle basic supplies. “Military planning should view climate change as a threat to the balance of energy access, water supplies, and a healthy environment, and it should require a response,” General Kern said in the report. “Responding after the fact with troops—after a crisis occurs—is one kind of response. Working to delay these changes—to accommodate a balance among these staples—is, of course, another way.” General Wald raised additional concerns. “There are a number of questions we should be asking now, if we're to prepare for some of the projected impacts,” he said in talking about the report. “Will the Air Force be expected to move larger quantities of supplies, including fuel, food or drinking water? Will they be expected to move larger numbers of people, perhaps in evacuations? Will we have the right kind of equipment, personnel and training to handle new missions, without diminishing our conventional military capacity? That's barely a start, but it gives you a sense of the scale of potential change.” The report notes that changes in the salinity of oceans, if glaciers melt and water temperatures change, could affect submarine equipment such as sonar. There may also be a greater need for civilian evacuations. Marines and Special Operations forces are trained and equipped now primarily for small to medium sized rescue operations. Admiral Pilling said that if climate change increases the frequency or intensity of hurricanes, there could be a destabilizing effect on the Navy, especially in the Southeastern United States. “It may cause you to move ships north to avoid hurricanes. If a ship's captain thinks he's in the middle of hurricane season, he's going to go out—get away from port. It impacts maintenance schedules and impacts operational structures. And that doesn't factor in the damage that hurricanes can do to our ports.” The report cites the Arctic as a region of particular concern for military planners. “If the warming we've seen in the high Arctic continues, then there is a possibility of a new sea route, a 'Northwest Passage' if you will,” Vice Admiral Paul G. Gaffney II, former chief of naval research and the former president of National Defense University, said about the study. “Will we be ready for both that opportunity and a new sea lane to defend? Will we have the right kinds of ships? Will we be ready for the acoustic surveillance challenges in a changed environment? Will it inspire a mission that requires greater air support from the Navy or the Air Force? What kinds of new basing arrangements will be necessary? These are questions security planners should be contemplating.” The Military Advisory Board chose not to engage in debate over climate science but did note that current levels of atmospheric carbon are already at historically high levels and are increasing. “This rise presents the prospect of significant climate change,” the board said in its letter transmitting the report to the American public. “And while uncertainty exists and debate continues regarding the science and future extent of projected climate changes, the trends are clear. The nature and pace of climate changes being observed today and the consequences projected by the consensus scientific opinion are grave and pose equally grave implications for our national security.” The Military Advisory Board called on the Defense Department to find ways to limit the extent of climate change, in part by controlling its own greenhouse gas emissions and fuel use while simultaneously increasing combat capabilities for American forces worldwide. “Our national security is inextricably linked to our country's energy security,” said retired Navy Admiral Frank “Skip” Bowman, who was director of the Naval Nuclear Propulsion program. “The military should be interested in fuel economy on the battlefield,” retired Lieutenant General Lawrence P. Farrell Jr., who was deputy Air Force chief of staff for plans and programs, said in the report. “It's a readiness issue. If you can move your men and materiel more quickly, if you have less tonnage but the same level of protection and firepower, you're more efficient on the battlefield. That's a life and death issue.” Findings and Recommendations The report includes several formal findings: Projected climate change poses a serious threat to America's national security. Climate change acts as a threat multiplier for instability in some of the most volatile regions of the world. Projected climate change will add to tensions even in stable regions of the world. Climate change, national security and energy dependence are a related set of global challenges. The report also made several specific recommendations: The national security consequences of climate change should be fully integrated into national security and national defense strategies. The U.S. should commit to a stronger national and international role to help stabilize climate changes at levels that will avoid significant disruption to global security and stability. The U.S. should commit to global partnerships that help less developed nations build the capacity and resiliency to better manage climate impacts. The Department of Defense should enhance its operational capability by accelerating the adoption of improved business processes and innovative technologies that result in improved U.S. combat power through energy efficiency. DoD should conduct an assessment of the impact on US military installations worldwide of rising sea levels, extreme weather events, and other possible climate change impacts over the next thirty to forty years. Military Advisory Board Members The Military Advisory Board is composed of eleven of the nation's most senior former officers and national security experts: Gen. Gordon R. Sullivan, USA (ret), Military Advisory Board Chairman, former Army chief of staff and current president of the Association of the United States Army Adm. Frank “Skip” Bowman, USN (ret), former director of naval nuclear propulsion at the Naval Sea Systems Command Lt. Gen. Lawrence P. Farrell Jr., USAF (ret), former deputy chief of staff for plans and programs, Headquarters U.S. Air Force Vice Adm. Paul G. Gaffney II, USN (ret), former chief of naval research and head of the Navy Meteorology and Oceanography Command Gen. Paul J. Kern, USA (ret), former commanding general, U.S. Army Materiel Command Adm. T. Joseph Lopez, USN (ret), former commander-in-chief, U.S. Naval Forces Europe and of Allied Forces, Southern Europe Adm. Donald L. Pilling, USN (ret), former vice chief of naval operations and Navy chief financial officer Adm. Joseph W. Prueher, USN (ret), former commander-in-chief of the U.S. Pacific Command and former U.S. ambassador to China Vice Adm. Richard H. Truly, USN (ret), former NASA administrator, shuttle astronaut and the first commander of the Naval Space Command Gen. Charles F. “Chuck” Wald, USAF (ret), former deputy commander, USEUCOM and director of Strategic Planning and Policy at Headquarters U.S. Air Force Gen. Anthony C. Zinni, USMC (ret), former commander, CENTCOM |
#3
Posted to alt.fan.ronald-reagan,rec.audio.pro,rec.backcountry,talk.environment,ne.weather
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Global Warming is caused by the Sun, the Moon and the Stars.
dont you ever get tired of spewing this to ppl here who obviously dont want
you to? "David Morgan (MAMS)" /Odm wrote in message newslNRi.9753$GR1.2112@trnddc08... wrote in message... Global Warming is caused by the Sun, the Moon and the Stars. __________________ Citations inserted as deemed necessary __________________ WEATHER OF MASS DESTRUCTION: Last month, the Military Advisory Board, a panel of esteemed retired military officers, issued a report that found "projected climate change poses a serious threat to America's national security" over the next 30 to 40 years. The report -- "National Security and the Threat of Climate Change" -- warned that there will be wars over water, increased hunger, instability from worsening disease and rising sea levels, and global warming-induced refugees. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases...0417092232.htm the content of this cite is posted below in it's entirety CBS http://wjz.com/topstories/topstories...107074013.html "The chaos that results can be an incubator of civil strife, genocide and the growth of terrorism," the report predicted. In an interview with The Progress Report, Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, Chairman of the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), said that "if the impact of climate change is going to make regions of violence poorer, then they really provide a level of fertility for inciting disaffection and resentment against the prosperous world. That's an indirect effect that can create the conditions for terrorism." Raising the ire of the right wing, the House Intelligence Committee took needed action to set aside funds in order to study the adverse impact that climate change may have on global security. NATIONAL SECURITY EXPERTS ISSUE WARNING ABOUT WARMING: Leading environmental scientists predict that climate change will bring about reduced access to fresh water, impaired food production, more diseases, land loss and displacement of major populations. "While the developed world will be far better equipped to deal with the effects of climate change, some of the poorest regions may be affected most. This gap can potentially provide an avenue for extremist ideologies and create conditions for terrorism." citation federal government US Natural Resources Management and Environment Department http://www.fao.org/docrep/W5183E/w5183e0b.htm http://www.fao.org/docrep/W5183E/w5183e00.HTM main FAO introduction The military experts said the fallout from global warming -- massive migrations, increased border tensions, greater demands for rescue and evacuation efforts, and conflicts over essential resources, including food and water -- could lead to direct U.S. military involvement. Ret. General Gordon Sullivan said, "We found that climate instability will lead to instability in geopolitics and impact American military operations around the world." A "ferocious drought and famine" were the driving forces behind the crisis in Darfur, which is "likely to be seen as the first climate change war." citation The First Climate Change War http://www.guardian.co.uk/sudan/stor...067637,00.html http://wjz.com/topstories/topstories...107074013.html Security Risk CONGRESS RESPONDS TO THE THREAT: On the heels of the warnings from national security experts, the House Intelligence Committee last week voted to include a provision in the Intelligence Authorization bill that would set aside funds to study the impact of global warming on national security. "We're concerned that global warming might impact our ability to maintain national security," said House Intelligence Committee Chairman Silvestre Reyes (D-TX). "For that reason, intelligence analysts are already reviewing the impact of climate change to our nation's security. Our bill requires that the review be a formal National Intelligence Estimate and that the estimate be provided to Congress." Sens. Carl Levin (D-MI) and Chuck Hagel (R-NE) introduced a bill in March that would also propose similar action. The Military Advisory Board specifically recommended that the national security consequences of climate change be fully integrated into national defense strategies, and "the intelligence community should incorporate climate consequences into its National Intelligence Estimate." Because conservatives have blocked action on global warming, notes Center for American Progress Senior Fellow Joseph Romm, "Progressives are driven to fund a serious effort by our intelligence agencies to understand the dangerous implications of our do-nothing climate policy." citation NPR.org "Climate Change and Security PDF http://capweb.democracyinaction.org/..._ climate.pdf DENIAL TAKES NEW FORM: Ret. Gen. Anthony Zinni, President Bush's former Middle East envoy, said, "It's not hard to make the connection between climate change and instability, or climate change and terrorism." Zinni underestimated the r esistance to global warming science by the right wing. Rep. Peter Hoekstra (R-MI), the ranking member on the intelligence committee, claimed, "There's no value added by the intelligence community" in assessing global warming's security impact. Hoekstra has previously said he's "not convinced" that we need to make "radical changes solely to address the issue of global warming." http://www.ens-newswire.com/ens/apr2...7-04-16-05.asp Military Panel A statement from the House Republican Policy Committee said there is a real question "about whether global warming is a legitimate intelligence priority." The Pentagon disagrees. In 2003, it issued a report stating in clear language, "Because of the potentially dire consequences, the risk of abrupt climate change...should be elevated beyond a scientific debate to a U.S. national security concern." Abrupt Climate Change http://capweb.democracyinaction.org/...ange2003.pd f MITIGATING THE EFFECTS: The Military Advisory Board wrote, "Managing the security impacts of climate change requires two approaches: mitigating the effects we can control and adapting to those we cannot." Last week, the IPCC issued its third working group report urging immediate action to control climate change. According to the findings, "we have, at most, eight years to freeze and reverse emissions." Pachauri explained to The Progress Report, "We have to tell the people of the U.S. that this is something intimately connected with their present and their future. The cost of inaction is going to be far higher than action. And the cost of action is really not all that high." The technology "is available to make immediate change and in others, the capability is expected to develop within decades. Such is the case with advanced carbon capture and storage technology. When it comes to energy efficiency and conservation, it could simply be a matter of policies that give incentive to change." A recent Center for American Progress poll found that Americans urgently want solutions to curb global warming. http://www.americanprogress.org/issu...emissions.html http://www.americanprogress.org/issu...ment_poll.html _______________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________ SCIENCE DAILY and The Military Advisory Council on Climate Change http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases...0417092232.htm Climate Change Poses Serious Threat To U.S. National Security Science Daily - Global climate change presents a serious national security threat that could affect Americans at home, impact U.S. military operations and heighten global tensions, according to a study released today by a blue-ribbon panel of retired admirals and generals. The study, "National Security and the Threat of Climate Change," explores ways projected climate change is a "threat multiplier" in already fragile regions of the world, exacerbating conditions that lead to failed states-the breeding grounds for extremism and terrorism. The CNA Corporation, a nonprofit research and analysis organization, brought together eleven retired four-star and three-star admirals and generals to provide advice, expertise and perspective on the impact of climate change on national security. CNA writers and researchers compiled the report under the board's direction and review. The Military Advisory Board members come from all branches of the armed services. The board includes a former Army chief of staff, commanders-in-chiefs of U.S. forces in global regions, a former shuttle astronaut and NASA administrator, and experts in planning, logistics, underwater operations and oceanography. One member also served as U.S. ambassador to China. "Climate change is a national security issue," retired General. Gordon R. Sullivan, chairman of the Military Advisory Board and former Army chief of staff, said in releasing the report at a Washington news conference. "We found that climate instability will lead to instability in geopolitics and impact American military operations around the world." "People are saying they want to be perfectly convinced about climate science projections," he said. "But speaking as a soldier, we never have 100 percent certainty. If you wait until you have 100 percent certainty, something bad is going to happen on the battlefield." Military Advisory Board members said they remain optimistic that climate change challenges can be managed to reduce future risks. The first step recommended in the study is for the national intelligence community to include comprehensive assessments of climate change in future security plans, just as agencies now take into account traditional but uncertain threats. As part of its five specific recommendations for action, the Military Advisory Board stated that "the path to mitigating the worst security consequences of climate change involves reducing global greenhouse gas emissions." "There is a relationship between carbon emissions and our national security," General Sullivan said recently. "I think that the evidence is there that would suggest that we have to start paying attention." "Carbon emissions are clearly part of the problem," he added. "We will pay for this one way or another," stated retired Marine Corps General Anthony C. Zinni, former commander of U.S. forces in the Middle East. "We will pay to reduce greenhouse gas emissions today, and we'll have to take an economic hit of some kind. Or, we will pay the price later in military terms. And that will involve human lives. There will be a human toll." Retired Navy Vice Admiral Richard H. Truly, a shuttle astronaut and former NASA administrator, said in the report that "unlike the challenges that we are used to dealing with, these will come upon us extremely slowly, but come they will, and they will be grinding and inexorable." Truly also notes that "maybe more challenging is that climate change will affect every nation, and all simultaneously. This is why we need to study this issue now, so that we'll be prepared and not overwhelmed by the required scope of our response when the time comes" Environmental Threats Have Security Implications The report recognizes that unabated climate change could bring an increased frequency of extreme storms, additional drought and flooding, rising sea levels, melting glaciers and the rapid spread of life-threatening disease. While these projected effects are usually viewed as environmental challenges, the Military Advisory Board has looked at them from the perspective of national security assessments and has identified them as serious risk factors for: massive migrations increased border tensions greater demands for rescue and evacuation efforts conflicts over essential resources-including food and water Such developments could lead to direct U.S. military involvement, the board found. "Climate change can provide the conditions that will extend the war on terror," said retired Admiral T. Joseph Lopez, former commander-in-chief, U.S. Naval Forces Europe and of Allied Forces, Southern Europe. "Rising ocean water levels, droughts, violent weather, ruined national economies-those are the kinds of stresses we'll see more of under climate change." "In the long term, we want to address the underlying conditions that terrorists seek to exploit," Admiral Lopez said. "But climate change will prolong those conditions. It makes them worse." Impacts on U.S. Military Intervention and Regional Stability The report describes national security implications of climate change in regions of the world. Europe The report states that "Tensions may rise as immigration from Africa and the Middle East-exacerbated by climate change-places additional social and economic pressures on countries. Some of America's strongest allies may be distracted as they struggle to protect their own borders. Such an inward focus may make it more difficult to build international coalitions, or engage in exercises to ensure readiness." "Europe will be focused on its own borders," retired Admiral Donald L. Pilling, vice chief of naval operations, said in the report. "There is potential for fracturing some very strong alliances based on migrations and the lack of control over borders." Africa The report focuses on the ways in which climate change can contribute to shortages of food, drinking water and farmland, adding strain in a region that is already the source of 30 percent of the world's refugees. It states: "Such changes will add significantly to existing tensions and can facilitate weakened governance, economic collapses, massive human migrations, and potential conflicts." "We ought to care about Africa because we're a good country," retired Air Force General Charles F. "Chuck" Wald said in the report. As deputy commander of the United States European Command, he was also responsible for U.S. forces in Africa. (Supervision of American forces in that continent was recently moved from EUCOM into a new "AFRICOM" command.) "We have a humanitarian character; it's one of our great strengths, and we shouldn't deny it. Some may be tempted to avert their eyes, but I would hope we instead see the very real human suffering taking place there. We should be moved by it, challenged by it. Even in the context of security discussions, I think these reasons matter, because part of our security depends on remaining true to our values. . "We import more oil from Africa than the Middle East-probably a shock to a lot of people-and that share will grow. .we'll be drawn into the politics of Africa, to a much greater extent." Middle East Noting this is the region of the world in which the U.S. is most engaged militarily, the report states that "water resources are a critical issue. and will become even more critical. Competition for increasingly scarce resources may exacerbate the level of conflict." "The existing situation [in the Middle East] makes this place more susceptible to problems," General Zinni, the former CENTCOM commander, said in the report. "Even small changes may have a greater impact here than they may have elsewhere. You already have great tension over water. These are cultures often built around a single source of water. "It's not hard to make the connection between climate change and instability, or climate change and terrorism," General Zinni added. Latin America The report states: "Rising sea levels will threaten all coastal nations. Caribbean nations are especially vulnerable in this regard, with the combination of rising sea levels and increased hurricane activity potentially devastating to some island nations . and a likely increase in immigration from neighbor states." In addition the report finds that "[l]oss of glaciers will strain water supply in several areas, particularly Peru and Venezuela." Asia The report finds that many factors may affect the continent. Potential sea level rise would have a severe impact with almost 40 percent of Asia's population of nearly 4 billion living within forty-five miles of coastlines. In addition, the reduced availability of farmland and drinking water and the increased spread of infectious disease would destabilize the region. One Military Advisory Board member, retired Navy Admiral Joseph W. Prueher, views Asia from two perspectives, having been commander of all U.S. forces in the Pacific and later U.S. ambassador to China. He suggested, as the full report does, that the U.S. should work with key international partners, including China, one of the leading emitters of atmospheric carbon. "On the issue of carbon emissions, it doesn't help us to solve our problem if China doesn't solve theirs. And that means we need to engage with them on many fronts," Admiral Prueher said in the report. "Not talking to the Chinese is not an option." Impacts on Military Bases and Operations The Military Advisory Board found that climate change impacts may affect U.S. military bases, requiring the Pentagon to prepare differently for future national security scenarios. It outlined specific ways that climate change will add to the difficulties facing future U.S. military leaders: Rising sea levels could threaten coastal bases at home and abroad. Increasing storm activity could deter the military's ability to perform routine maintenance or carry out regular exercises. Changing ocean salinity could require changes in sonar and submarine systems. Drought conditions could require new logistical plans and equipment for moving water to U.S. troops in war zones. The need for new kinds of humanitarian operations could necessitate new training to address these different missions. Climate change may have differing impacts on the four branches of the armed services. The former head of the U.S. Army Materiel Command, retired General Paul J. Kern, said changes may make it more difficult for the Army to handle basic supplies. "Military planning should view climate change as a threat to the balance of energy access, water supplies, and a healthy environment, and it should require a response," General Kern said in the report. "Responding after the fact with troops-after a crisis occurs-is one kind of response. Working to delay these changes-to accommodate a balance among these staples-is, of course, another way." General Wald raised additional concerns. "There are a number of questions we should be asking now, if we're to prepare for some of the projected impacts," he said in talking about the report. "Will the Air Force be expected to move larger quantities of supplies, including fuel, food or drinking water? Will they be expected to move larger numbers of people, perhaps in evacuations? Will we have the right kind of equipment, personnel and training to handle new missions, without diminishing our conventional military capacity? That's barely a start, but it gives you a sense of the scale of potential change." The report notes that changes in the salinity of oceans, if glaciers melt and water temperatures change, could affect submarine equipment such as sonar. There may also be a greater need for civilian evacuations. Marines and Special Operations forces are trained and equipped now primarily for small to medium sized rescue operations. Admiral Pilling said that if climate change increases the frequency or intensity of hurricanes, there could be a destabilizing effect on the Navy, especially in the Southeastern United States. "It may cause you to move ships north to avoid hurricanes. If a ship's captain thinks he's in the middle of hurricane season, he's going to go out-get away from port. It impacts maintenance schedules and impacts operational structures. And that doesn't factor in the damage that hurricanes can do to our ports." The report cites the Arctic as a region of particular concern for military planners. "If the warming we've seen in the high Arctic continues, then there is a possibility of a new sea route, a 'Northwest Passage' if you will," Vice Admiral Paul G. Gaffney II, former chief of naval research and the former president of National Defense University, said about the study. "Will we be ready for both that opportunity and a new sea lane to defend? Will we have the right kinds of ships? Will we be ready for the acoustic surveillance challenges in a changed environment? Will it inspire a mission that requires greater air support from the Navy or the Air Force? What kinds of new basing arrangements will be necessary? These are questions security planners should be contemplating." The Military Advisory Board chose not to engage in debate over climate science but did note that current levels of atmospheric carbon are already at historically high levels and are increasing. "This rise presents the prospect of significant climate change," the board said in its letter transmitting the report to the American public. "And while uncertainty exists and debate continues regarding the science and future extent of projected climate changes, the trends are clear. The nature and pace of climate changes being observed today and the consequences projected by the consensus scientific opinion are grave and pose equally grave implications for our national security." The Military Advisory Board called on the Defense Department to find ways to limit the extent of climate change, in part by controlling its own greenhouse gas emissions and fuel use while simultaneously increasing combat capabilities for American forces worldwide. "Our national security is inextricably linked to our country's energy security," said retired Navy Admiral Frank "Skip" Bowman, who was director of the Naval Nuclear Propulsion program. "The military should be interested in fuel economy on the battlefield," retired Lieutenant General Lawrence P. Farrell Jr., who was deputy Air Force chief of staff for plans and programs, said in the report. "It's a readiness issue. If you can move your men and materiel more quickly, if you have less tonnage but the same level of protection and firepower, you're more efficient on the battlefield. That's a life and death issue." Findings and Recommendations The report includes several formal findings: Projected climate change poses a serious threat to America's national security. Climate change acts as a threat multiplier for instability in some of the most volatile regions of the world. Projected climate change will add to tensions even in stable regions of the world. Climate change, national security and energy dependence are a related set of global challenges. The report also made several specific recommendations: The national security consequences of climate change should be fully integrated into national security and national defense strategies. The U.S. should commit to a stronger national and international role to help stabilize climate changes at levels that will avoid significant disruption to global security and stability. The U.S. should commit to global partnerships that help less developed nations build the capacity and resiliency to better manage climate impacts. The Department of Defense should enhance its operational capability by accelerating the adoption of improved business processes and innovative technologies that result in improved U.S. combat power through energy efficiency. DoD should conduct an assessment of the impact on US military installations worldwide of rising sea levels, extreme weather events, and other possible climate change impacts over the next thirty to forty years. Military Advisory Board Members The Military Advisory Board is composed of eleven of the nation's most senior former officers and national security experts: Gen. Gordon R. Sullivan, USA (ret), Military Advisory Board Chairman, former Army chief of staff and current president of the Association of the United States Army Adm. Frank "Skip" Bowman, USN (ret), former director of naval nuclear propulsion at the Naval Sea Systems Command Lt. Gen. Lawrence P. Farrell Jr., USAF (ret), former deputy chief of staff for plans and programs, Headquarters U.S. Air Force Vice Adm. Paul G. Gaffney II, USN (ret), former chief of naval research and head of the Navy Meteorology and Oceanography Command Gen. Paul J. Kern, USA (ret), former commanding general, U.S. Army Materiel Command Adm. T. Joseph Lopez, USN (ret), former commander-in-chief, U.S. Naval Forces Europe and of Allied Forces, Southern Europe Adm. Donald L. Pilling, USN (ret), former vice chief of naval operations and Navy chief financial officer Adm. Joseph W. Prueher, USN (ret), former commander-in-chief of the U.S. Pacific Command and former U.S. ambassador to China Vice Adm. Richard H. Truly, USN (ret), former NASA administrator, shuttle astronaut and the first commander of the Naval Space Command Gen. Charles F. "Chuck" Wald, USAF (ret), former deputy commander, USEUCOM and director of Strategic Planning and Policy at Headquarters U.S. Air Force Gen. Anthony C. Zinni, USMC (ret), former commander, CENTCOM |
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