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Ed Seedhouse wrote:
On 21 Apr 2005 23:59:10 GMT, wrote:

Fortunately for audiophiles Pinkerton does not get to rewrite

history.
The *fact* is that CD sales took off exactly when portable CD

players
and car CD players became widely available at affordable prices.
Fortunately for people who enjoy CDs the success of that medium was
driven by somethging more than a niche market like classical music.


This could go in a textbook as an example of bad reasoning!



Balony.



Correlation
does not prove causation.



It supports it.



The fact that two things happen at the same
time does not prove that one causes the other.



It supports it.


The fact that something
occurs before something else does not prove it causes the something
else. "Pos hoc, ergo propter hoc" is still a fallacy and always will
be.



Well the real bad reasoning is ignoring the fact that the medium was
around for quite some time as a niche market product and did not
dominate the market until such a time as it became convenient to play
in the car and on portable players. It would be quite bad reasoning to
ignore the fact that exactly the same "coincidence" took place with the
previously dominant medium. It would also be poor logic to ignore the
fact that classical music sales by their sheer lack of volume cannot
possible impact the market the way sales due to portability can. Oh
well.



Scott Wheeler